Commercial waste market positioningLiverpool market · 26 October 2026
Competitor prices: dated research quotes from 2024–2026.
Commercial waste · opportunity assessment
Current market size and LCC position are updated. Final conversion rates for the five growth sectors are still being considered.
Hotels, industry, clinics, education and food & beverage form the growth investigation. Office and mixed-use buildings show market position only. Universities and hospitals remain visible in their wider sectors but are excluded from the growth projections.
01 / 06Current position · 26 October 2026
Hotels, guest houses, hostels and other accommodation. National chains sit outside the target market.
National-chain hotels remain outside the target market. Their £1,277,626.66 annual value is held within the whole-Liverpool comparison.
Sector values precede headline duplication adjustments. Food and beverage uses its eligible-unit value here; the wider sector row includes £6,350.53 removed in the market bridge.
Source: 26 October 2026 figure pack, market baseline B50-F3, hotel baseline B50-H1, education baseline B50-E1 and the final current-service report. Whole-service stop economics and Simpler Recycling use their own 900/895 account populations, not the TAM-linked 835 accounts.
The five-sector conversion rates remain under consideration. Existing working projections, including Industry’s earlier input base, are excluded from published targets. No earlier B41 sector contribution or recycling outcome is retained as a current result.
Simpler Recycling · 26 October 2026
Compare two residual-frequency scenarios with today’s service. Both retain the same operating budget.
A stop is one crew visiting a collection site on a day. A lift is one bin emptied. Several bins can be lifted at one stop.
FREE glass at £0; rental shown separately
All scheduled commercial work, including domestic crews
Schools and charities £0
Collection charges less disposal and operating budget
Recorded contractual value is £1,810,942.12: £1,693,588.52 collection charges plus £117,353.60 rental. This model removes £7,696 of unbilled FREE glass and excludes rental from contribution. The five accounts without schedules retain today’s financial values.
792 accounts are affected: 526 currently buy residual only; 266 already receive separate streams. All are assumed to take the new streams from LCC.
The budget stays fixed. No unapproved cost per extra stop is applied.
+16,075 stops a year
+16,225 lifts a year
New streams are identical in both scenarios; only residual frequency changes.
Residual collection frequency is halved on affected accounts, alongside new food, recycling and eligible glass collections.
Outside food and beverage, new recycling runs at half today’s residual frequency and food is fortnightly. Dine-in, takeaway, bar and nightclub food runs at half residual frequency, at least fortnightly; recycling is fortnightly. Glass is fortnightly in glass-producing sectors.
These are fixed-budget scenarios. They assume all additional work can be absorbed within £875,769.64; available capacity still needs confirmation.
£875,769.64 ÷ 94,683 stops = £9.25 per stop. The same budget is spread over more stops. This is an allocation, not a claim that extra visits cost nothing.
Estimated contribution: collection charges less disposal and the operating budget. This is not net profit.
Existing rental of £117,353.60 is separate and unchanged. Rental for new containers is not modelled.
| Annual measure | Today | Scenario 1 · halve residual frequency | Scenario 2 · retain residual frequency |
|---|---|---|---|
| Collection charges · FREE glass at £0 | £1,685,892.52 | £1,686,206.08 | £2,209,290.59 |
| Disposal cost | £639,729.06 | £562,874.09 | £562,874.09 |
| Fixed collection operating budget | £875,769.64 | £875,769.64 | £875,769.64 |
| Estimated contribution · rental excluded | £170,393.82 | £247,562.35 | £770,646.86 |
| Bin rental · separate, held unchanged | £117,353.60 | £117,353.60 | £117,353.60 |
| Scheduled stops · 895 accounts | 78,608 | 94,683 | 116,672 |
| Scheduled lifts · 895 accounts | 171,648 | 187,873 | 231,695 |
| Chargeable lifts · 900 accounts | 158,860 | 175,903 | 218,907 |
Within the 792 affected accounts, 504 exceed residual allowance plus the 8% tolerance under Scenario 1, compared with 84 under Scenario 2. This is a weight test, not a measure of physical bin overflow.
Among the 389 affected customers with measured evidence, the corresponding counts are 248 and 72. Other services use estimates. The 71 residual-sack accounts have no bin allowance and are not tested.
| Round | Annual stops | Annual lifts | Lifts per stop | Minutes outside first-to-last-lift window |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade 1 (Mon-Fri) | 15,482 | 29,066 | 1.88 | 114.3 |
| Trade 2 (Mon-Fri) | 15,990 | 22,568 | 1.41 | 203.3 |
| Schools (Mon-Fri) | 6,968 | 39,130 | 5.62 | 184.5 |
| T.DMR on Trade-3 lorry (Mon, Tue, Fri) | 9,046 | 16,690 | 1.84 | 162.4 |
| T.DMR Wednesday (spare RCV) | 3,354 | 4,264 | 1.27 | — |
| Trade-3 residual (Wed, Thu) | 5,798 | 10,660 | 1.84 | 123.2 |
| Trade-3 lorry Saturday | 2,704 | 6,448 | 2.38 | 153.3 |
| Trade-3 lorry Sunday (half day) | 1,820 | 5,720 | 3.14 | 180.1 |
| Food (Macpac; Mon, Tue, Thu, Fri, Sat) | 11,778 | 21,502 | 1.83 | 188.0 |
| Glass (Macpac; Wed, and Sun half day) | 2,028 | 7,176 | 3.54 | 165.9 |
| Ten fixed rounds, total | 74,968 | 163,224 | — | — |
| Other scheduled commercial work outside the ten fixed rounds (incl. commercial stops on domestic crews) | 3,640 | 8,424 | — | — |
Access to up to six staffed vehicles is not a measured amount of spare capacity. Time outside the recorded lift window can include travel, breaks and other work; it is potential capacity to investigate, not confirmed spare time.
Weight alignment is excluded from both Simpler Recycling scenarios. The £216,180.90 measured collection-charge adjustment elsewhere is not added here. Schools and charities carry £0 disposal cost. All affected customers take the new streams from LCC; partial uptake and incremental staffing, fleet and fuel costs have not been modelled.
Source: final Current Service and Simpler Recycling report, 26 October 2026; corrected scenario figures F5949–F5999; population F5816; fixed operating budget OF3358. The older absorption model and its default 50% setting have been retired.
Liverpool’s commercial premises · TAM summary
Documented removals and grouping
10,909 target customers
B50-F3 · 26 October 2026. The original walkthrough and imagery are retained. Historical stages explain the process; the sequential bridge below reconciles 11,198 initial purchasing units to 10,909 current units. Served units are deducted once, at the end.
The original live VOA total cannot be substantiated from the current register. The documented first TAM build starts from 16,538 premises and LCC register records, rather than an invented opening total.
Historical removals before B28; these are already reflected in the initial 11,198-unit market. The original complete VOA total is unavailable.
| Removed category | Records |
|---|---|
| Individual parking bays | 1,020 |
| Billboards and advertising sites | 762 |
| Phone masts, aerials and wifi sites | 405 |
| Empty, derelict or being converted | 357 |
| Holiday lets, short lets and serviced flats (your instruction, 22-09) | 317 |
| National chain branches that buy waste centrally (chain list 21-09) | 302 |
| Electricity and gas network equipment | 231 |
| Open land used for storage or display | 185 |
| Unstaffed equipment sites | 104 |
| Open-air car parks with no attendant | 85 |
| Large industrial premises of 4,600 m² and over (your instruction, 22-09) | 73 |
| Herculaneum Dock lock-up stores (your instruction, 21-09) | 54 |
| Listed twice — duplicate entries | 20 |
| Phone boxes | 14 |
| Waste sites (your instruction, 20-09) | 9 |
| Bare land and unstaffed yards (your rule, 20-09) | 7 |
| Public toilets and shared communal areas | 5 |
| Vending machine pitches | 3 |
| Old entries replaced when the VOA split a premises | 2 |
Each row starts from the previous row. The +35 proposal and its withdrawal are both shown. The 24 additional units restated at B49 were already counted under earlier shared-site and education rules and are not added again.
| Stage | Recorded movement | Change | Units after |
|---|---|---|---|
| B28 | Initial TAM build: 11,198 TAM-sector customers from 16,538 premises and register records (M28). Plus 4 LCC customers in removed buildings and 141 residential/student rows held separately | — | 11,198 |
| B29 | 87 council-controlled sites into Community and leisure (M29); count unchanged | 0 | 11,198 |
| B30 | Tab 15 renamed Retail parks | 0 | 11,198 |
| B31 | Places of worship (200) out; 4 LCC customers in removed buildings counted in; car parks/self-storage in (interim) | -196 | 11,002 |
| B32 | 367 customers re-placed between sectors (OD037-OD044) | 0 | 11,002 |
| B33 | Shops and Salons combined | 0 | 11,002 |
| B34 | Manned car parks (10) and self-storage (9) out of the target market (OD052) | -19 | 10,983 |
| B35 | One unit per ongoing LCC account at shared TAM customers (M28 revised, OD059) | +38 | 11,021 |
| B36 | 37 unmatched Liverpool LCC accounts added (OD060) | +37 | 11,058 |
| B37 | 4 small-let accounts to hotels (OD061) | +4 | 11,062 |
| B38 | 35 serviced-apartment blocks - WITHDRAWN at B39 | +35 | 11,097 |
| B39 | B38 withdrawn | -35 | 11,062 |
| B40 | 166 national-chain customers out of the target market (OD064); stay in whole Liverpool | -166 | 10,896 |
| B42 | Record, placement and link overlays (OD068) | -5 | 10,891 |
| B47 | Education: 109 nursery records replaced by 128 Ofsted providers | +19 | 10,910 |
| B48 | 3 education records reinstated (OD083) | +3 | 10,913 |
| B49 | 6 excluded records still active removed (5 outside Liverpool, 1 Toxteth merge) | -6 | 10,907 |
| B50 | Toros double link removed (OD088) | -1 | 10,906 |
| B50-F1 | B50-H1: 44 Renshaw Street whole-building assessment reinstated (+1); F&B moves between sectors (no net change) | +1 | 10,907 |
| B50-F2 | Atlantic Pavilion F&B group split into 3 purchasing units (OD114) | +2 | 10,909 |
| B50-F3 | F&B served-customer subsector set by LCC business-type label; 12 cafes (OD115). No count change | 0 | 10,909 |
| Unserved | Deduct LCC-served purchasing units once | −843 | 10,066 |
Source: 26 October 2026 figure pack, 148 recorded TAM movements and B50-F3 population views. Historical removals and modern purchasing-unit movements are different units. No unsupported building count or balancing figure is used. The 843 served purchasing units correspond to 835 distinct linked accounts.
Customer performance & growth · 26 October 2026
The reconciled active account book, scheduled workload and current market presence. All financial amounts are annual estimates from the records.
The active book is £1,810,942.12 a year including rental. The current cost model assesses 895 accounts; five have no schedules and remain separate from account-level profitability.
LCC’s own business types are retained. Accommodation and commercial multi-occupancy are combined under the current rule; these are not the TAM sector groups.
The lowest-value 450 accounts contribute 13.9% of contractual value. This chart does not measure profit.
Across 895 assessed accounts, 284 positive accounts contribute £366,362.64 and 611 negative accounts contribute −£203,167.22. The total is £163,195.41 before rounding components. Rental is excluded from this contribution measure.
Source: the corrected 12 August contract register and schedules, current account view and final 26 October report. Contractual value includes £7,696 of FREE glass at register price. The contribution model uses FREE glass at £0 and excludes rental. Contracted lifts (158,860) are a billing measure; scheduled lifts (171,648) measure workload.
The old 903-account portfolio becomes 900: accounts 140001795 and 140056103 are suspended, and 140058889 is rental-only. Contract values for 140057838 and 140058487 rise by £416.00 and £1,664.00. The net change is +£1,214.20, giving £1,810,942.12.
Account-level contribution totals £163,195.41 across the 895 assessable accounts. Including the five held no-schedule accounts at today’s financial values gives the £170,393.82 whole-service figure in Simpler Recycling. These populations are labelled separately throughout.
LCC customer profile · 26 October 2026
The corrected contract register separates accounts, collection lines and scheduled workload. Business types follow LCC’s records.
1,445 active collection lines. Rental lines are separate. These are contract records, not schedule rows, customers or tonnes.
All 900 active accounts, by recorded business type. These groups are separate from the TAM market classifications.
This compares customer mix with contract-line mix; neither series measures tonnes. The earlier education food percentages and incompatible England comparison are retired. Source: corrected account and contract-line views, extracted 26 October 2026; line counts reconcile to the supplied stream table.
LCC rate card
Choose a waste stream to see LCC’s listed rate per tonne, ranked from the highest charge to the lowest.
Rank 1 is the highest listed £/tonne rate. These are charge rates, not profit margins; service costs are not included in the source data.
| Rank | Bin / bag size | Rate tier | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 240L bin | 6 kg | Light 240 | £7.15 | £1,191.667 |
| 2 | Bag 5 | 12.5 kg | Light Bag 5 | £8.31 | £664.8 |
| 3 | 240L bin | 15 kg | Medium 240 | £8.76 | £584 |
| 4 | 360L bin | 15 kg | Light 360 | £8.76 | £584 |
| 5 | Bag 12 | 30 kg | Light Bag 12 | £16.96 | £565.333 |
| 6 | Bag 25 | 62.5 kg | Light Bag 25 | £35.33 | £565.28 |
| 7 | Bag 50 | 125 kg | Light Bag 50 | £70.65 | £565.2 |
| 8 | 240L bin | 25 kg | Heavy 240 | £10.56 | £422.4 |
| 9 | 360L bin | 27 kg | Medium 360 | £10.91 | £404.074 |
| 10 | Bag 5 | 30 kg | Heavy Bag 5 | £11.45 | £381.667 |
| 11 | 660L bin | 30 kg | Light 660 | £11.45 | £381.667 |
| 12 | 240L bin | 15 kg | Schools & Charities 240 | £5.24 | £349.333 |
| 13 | 660L bin | 30 kg | Light 660 Multi | £10.45 | £348.333 |
| 14 | 360L bin | 40 kg | Heavy 360 | £13.25 | £331.25 |
| 15 | Bag 25 | 150 kg | Heavy Bag 25 | £48.67 | £324.467 |
| 16 | Bag 50 | 300 kg | Heavy Bag 50 | £97.34 | £324.467 |
| 17 | Bag 12 | 72 kg | Heavy Bag 12 | £23.36 | £324.444 |
| 18 | 660L bin | 45 kg | Medium 660 | £14.14 | £314.222 |
| 19 | 1100L bin | 50 kg | Light 1100 | £15.04 | £300.8 |
| 20 | 660L bin | 45 kg | Medium 660 Multi | £13.14 | £292 |
| 21 | 660L bin | 55 kg | Heavy 660 | £15.94 | £289.818 |
| 22 | 1100L bin | 50 kg | Light 1100 Multi | £14.04 | £280.8 |
| 23 | 660L bin | 55 kg | Heavy 660 Multi | £14.94 | £271.636 |
| 24 | 1100L bin | 75 kg | Medium 1100 | £19.53 | £260.4 |
| 25 | 360L bin | 27 kg | Schools & Charities 360 | £6.98 | £258.519 |
| 26 | 1100L bin | 75 kg | Medium 1100 Multi | £18.53 | £247.067 |
| 27 | 1100L bin | 95 kg | Heavy 1100 | £23.12 | £243.368 |
| 28 | 1100L bin | 95 kg | Heavy 1100 Multi | £22.12 | £232.842 |
| 29 | 660L bin | 45 kg | Schools & Charities 660 | £7.07 | £157.111 |
| 30 | 1100L bin | 75 kg | Schools & Charities 1100 | £9.43 | £125.733 |
| 31 | 1100L bin | 75 kg | Schools & Charities 1100 Multi | £4.71 | £62.8 |
Current stream economics · 2026 rate card
Choose a tariff in each stream and compare the cost of the weight presented. This is a tariff illustration, not the whole-service contribution model.
Each collection price stays fixed. Income per tonne equals the selected card price divided by the tonnes presented. At zero weight, a per-tonne figure is undefined. No unlisted excess-weight fee is assumed.
Source: 2026 LCC rate card and confirmed disposal rates: residual £150.78/t, recycling £97.12/t, food £35/t and glass £20/t rebate. Schools and charities have £0 disposal cost. Labour, fleet, fuel, rental and overheads are excluded; this is not profit. Bin litres describe capacity, not weight. The rate card supplies no excess-per-kg charge.
Lift evidence · April–July 2026
Current four-month evidence replaces the earlier May-only sample. Weight, billing and workload remain separate measures.
Raw lifts and assessed service lines use different units. An account can have both weighed and unweighed services. No standard empty-bin weight is used to reject or adjust a lift.
The four trade lorries recorded 59,173 lifts, including 17,270 tagged lifts. 13,821 valid weighings support 607 weighed general-waste and recycling lines. The food/glass vehicle recorded another 5,083 untagged lifts.
| Measure | Count |
|---|---|
| Lifts in Apr-Jul RFID exports, four trade lorries | 59,173 |
| Tagged lifts, four trade lorries | 17,270 |
| Valid weighings behind 607 weighed GW and recycling lines | 13,821 |
| Lifts on the food and glass vehicle (untagged) | 5,083 |
| Valid food lifts | 3,580 |
| Valid glass lifts | 1,015 |
| Valid Sunday lifts, stream not settled | 21 |
| Excluded lifts on food/glass vehicle (zero weight, depot tests, wrong lifter) | 411 |
| Raw rows in rfid.v_vws_raw_all (before validity rules) | 64,256 |
| Contracted GW and recycling bins | 2,183 |
| Active service lines with individual weight evidence | 725 |
| Active collection lines without weight evidence | 720 |
| Customers with at least one weighed line | 536 |
| Customers with at least one unweighed line | 568 |
| Customers with no weighed line | 364 |
Tagged lifts must link through the tag register to a contract account and pass validity tests: positive real weight, correct lifter, and no identified repeat-tip error. Gross minus that lift’s own tare gives the waste weight. Food and glass are identified by round/day and location-match grade; unresolved matches remain separate. The counts above describe different filters and are not one additive funnel.
Source: 26 October 2026 figure pack and final current-service report. Weight alignment: current M09 allocation, OF1852–OF2167. April–July evidence follows the current lift-validity and own-tare rules. Calculations are reconciled; earlier missing provenance references remain an open research issue.
Lift costs
The standard weekday driver-and-loader basis is agreed. One-person and weekend route costs remain uncosted in the current report; their crew arrangements are shown separately.
Starting employer costs (NI included): Mon–Fri driver £44,112 · weekend-working driver £55,234 · loader £38,941. Salary edits carry across the relevant views.
9.0% of LCC’s estimated £5.10 cost per lift
One full crew shift, including paid breaks and a holiday allowance.
5 route days × daily crew cost at the selected salary rate.
Calculation basis. Annual crew salary ÷ (260 working days − holiday days) gives the cost per productive route day (220 days per year). Divide the daily cost by 410 productive minutes and multiply by minutes per lift; multiply the daily cost by route days for the weekly figure. This calculation applies to the standard weekday two-person illustration only; the other crew arrangements require their own agreed costing. Route days change the weekly total. NI is already included in the annual employer costs. Vehicle, fuel and disposal are excluded. These illustrative lift minutes are not added to the fixed-budget Simpler Recycling model.
Current limits. Account figures use the corrected active register and schedules. Schools and charities have £0 disposal cost, while their collections still consume crew time. Market units, billing accounts, contractual lifts and scheduled workload are labelled separately.
Interactive rate explorer · dated research baseline
Quote research covers 24 October 2024–7 September 2026. These working comparisons are not live offers. Known weight allowances, container sizes and streams are kept separate.
LCC Heavy and Medium commercial tiers
The Heavy tier leads the market at £422 per tonne on both views. The Medium tier is fourth on the net view at £584, then moves to third when VAT is included for competitors.
| Provider | Allowance | Lift price | Cost / tonne |
|---|---|---|---|
| LCC — Heavy tier2026 card LCC 2026 rate card | 25 kg | £10.56 | £422 |
| Biffa — Keenans early bird2026-08/2026-09 R209 · S12 | 25 kg | £11.00 | £440 |
| Gaskells2026-08/2026-09 R210 · S12 | 15 kg | £8.50 | £567 |
| LCC — Medium tier2026 card LCC 2026 rate card | 15 kg | £8.76 | £584 |
| B&M Panda2026-08/2026-09 R211 · S12 | 13 kg | £7.64 | £588 |
| Veolia2026-08/2026-09 R212 · S12 | 15 kg | £9.00 | £600 |
| Biffa — direct L12026-08/2026-09 R213 · S12 | 20 kg | £13.22 | £661 |
| Central Waste2026-08/2026-09 R214 · S12 | 15 kg | £10.00 | £667 |
| Waste Managed2026-08/2026-09 R215 · S12 | 15 kg | £15.66 | £1,044 |
Net view — VAT-registered buyer. Competitor and LCC rates are compared before VAT.
Market read
LCC should present a different case to VAT-registered firms and to smaller businesses that bear VAT as a real cost.
LCC’s 240L glass rate is £42 per tonne. The next cheapest commercial rate is £83 net and £99 including VAT.
For a VAT-registered firm, LCC wins on selected tiers and competes on allowance and service elsewhere. For a buyer unable to reclaim VAT, LCC moves up almost every table.
At 50kg, the £15.04 lift equates to £301 per tonne and ranks twelfth of thirteen net. A 70kg allowance would reduce the index to £215 per tonne without changing the lift price.
LCC sits third to fifth net and second to third gross across DMR sizes. Broker rates are materially higher, especially at 240L.
LCC position markers
| LCC offer | £ / tonne | Net rank | Inc. VAT rank | Commercial read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glass · 240L | £42/t | 1st | 1st | Defend and lead with it |
| Food · 240L | £106/t | 2nd | 1st | Strong micro-business offer |
| Residual Heavy · 240L | £422/t | 1st | 1st | Strongest residual tier |
| DMR · 240L | £682/t | 5th | 2nd | VAT changes the sales story |
| Residual Light · 1,100L | £301/t | 12th | 7th | Allowance needs review |
Other quoted formats
These rates stay visible without being mixed into unlike-for-like charts.
Recommended commercial moves
Lead with the price customers actually pay: LCC’s no-VAT position, glass advantage and strong food rate.
Lead with the strongest weight tiers, service, local accountability and allowance — not a VAT saving the customer can reclaim.
Target customers paying broker margin. Brokers occupy the highest position in many DMR and residual comparisons.
Method and limits
Cost per tonne = lift price ÷ (contracted allowance in kg ÷ 1,000).
LCC remains unchanged. Competitor gross rates are their net rates plus 20% VAT.
The index assumes every container is presented at its full contracted allowance. Underfilled bins cost more per actual tonne.
Lift price only. Bin rental, duty of care, transfer notes and setup charges are excluded.
Concessionary LCC rates and supplier quotes without a weight allowance are not included in commercial rankings.
The register contains 379 rows: 311 competitor rows across 11 providers and 68 historical LCC reference rows. Those 68 reference rows are excluded from rankings. This explorer compares 65 selected competitor quotes with 17 current 2026 LCC card entries; each selected quote has a source and date.